{"id":166510,"date":"2025-01-30T15:27:34","date_gmt":"2025-01-30T10:27:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/?p=166510"},"modified":"2025-01-30T15:27:34","modified_gmt":"2025-01-30T10:27:34","slug":"indias-4-trillion-economy-dream-fades-amid-structural-slowdown-ubs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/2025\/01\/30\/indias-4-trillion-economy-dream-fades-amid-structural-slowdown-ubs.html","title":{"rendered":"India&#8217;s $4 trillion economy dream fades amid structural slowdown: UBS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-166511\" src=\"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4.webp 1200w, https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4-390x220.webp 390w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/>New Delhi: India&#8217;s dream to become the world&#8217;s third-largest economy, valued at $4-5 trillion, is slipping away.<\/p>\n<p>According to UBS, a multinational investment bank and financial services company headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, the country&#8217;s economy has entered a structural slowdown, driven by a long-term decline in credit growth, foreign direct investment, export competitiveness, and earnings potential.<\/p>\n<p>This slowdown is not just a cyclical phenomenon, but a deeper structural issue. UBS recommends that investors short India&#8217;s rupee and go underweight on the country&#8217;s stocks. The bank&#8217;s research group notes that India&#8217;s growth is vulnerable to external risks, particularly rising US Treasury yields.<\/p>\n<p>The Indian rupee has fallen to record lows against the US dollar, and the country&#8217;s bonds are experiencing rapid outflows. The Reserve Bank of India faces a challenging decision on whether to cut interest rates, as monetary easing may erode rupee carry and hot money capital flows.<\/p>\n<p>The current slowdown raises concerns about the country&#8217;s ability to achieve the desired goal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New Delhi: India&#8217;s dream to become the world&#8217;s third-largest economy, valued at $4-5 trillion, is slipping away. According to UBS, a multinational investment bank and financial services company headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, the country&#8217;s economy has entered a structural slowdown, driven by a long-term decline in credit growth, foreign direct investment, export competitiveness, and earnings &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":166511,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-166510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-india"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/assests\/2025\/01\/Untitled-design-4.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=166510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166510\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/166511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=166510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=166510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmsnews.org\/kms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=166510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}